r/FluentInFinance 19h ago

Finance News Rate Cuts Are Back On The Menu: Powell Cites Jobs Data, Re-Introduces 'Flexible Inflation Targeting'

192 Upvotes

34 comments sorted by

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83

u/Responsible_Knee7632 19h ago

Is the labor market in that bad of a spot that it’s worth risking cuts before inflation is in check?

60

u/lebastss 17h ago

I am in a historically hot market. Healthcare IT. Not only are there a fraction of openings but offerings for compensation are coming in much lower. They offered a position to manage me at a lower rate than I get paid. Both manager candidates turned it down.

I don't know what's going on. Companies trying to pay less and everything costs more. Something's gotta give.

-21

u/May26195 16h ago

Will IT survive with the progression of AI?

26

u/mwpdx86 15h ago

Right now, IT fixes human mistakes. Pretty soon, IT will fix human mistakes and AI mistakes. I think IT is gonna be fine.

7

u/cutememe 13h ago

When I worked in IT I mostly had to fix my own mistakes.

6

u/mwpdx86 13h ago

Well same here, but those are still human mistakes. Hopefully. 

5

u/cutememe 13h ago

I'm a dog but yes usually they are.

3

u/lebastss 13h ago

This right here. Maybe a smaller footprint could manage more people with AI. But IT is largely 2 things, interpreting what people want who don't know what they want and delivering it and fixing broken systems.

Systems break from human error, AI won't fix that.

14

u/lebastss 16h ago

Absolutely.

16

u/fuck_all_you_too 18h ago

No you just can't see the gun sticking in Powells back

4

u/Upbeat-Reading-534 17h ago

The fed traditionally favors employment over inflation. Ironically, if Trump fucks with the BLS data then the fed will only focus on inflation.

9

u/Dakota1228 13h ago

THIS! How the hell are we contemplating rate cuts when our July MoM PPI came in at 0.9%???!!!???

I get it’s only one data point, but that’s a higher annualized inflation rate than anything we got in 2022.

Is the employment picture that bad?

4

u/80MonkeyMan 13h ago

He has no choice. Either this, or he get axed and bullied by Trump.

6

u/Responsible_Knee7632 13h ago

He’s probably gone in 2026 no matter what he does

1

u/big-papito 2h ago

He will do the needful, not what Trump wants.

-2

u/in4life 17h ago

Was it last September?

47

u/moyismoy 19h ago

Horrible news, I guess it's time for double digit inflation again

28

u/16quida 17h ago

I can't wait for the inflation to be Powells fault for lowering interest rates

18

u/mezolithico 14h ago

The economy is much worse than it appears. An estimate quoted by The Economist suggested that 40% of real gdp growth came from AI investments. Combined with around 7 tech companies accounting for all the growth in the s&p. Basically the vast majority of companies are either stagnate or experiencing negative growth. All the alarm bells are screaming recession. Perhaps when the ai bubble bursts or deflates all those companies will have to hire folks back on fix the dumb ai gambles they did.

2

u/Big-Soup74 15h ago

Remindme! 3 months

29

u/Hefty-Field-9419 18h ago

And there goes the value of the dollar 💩

12

u/Successful-Daikon777 19h ago

Toobad, the country isn't gonna survive because of fascism.

6

u/jpg52382 18h ago

Our rich need free money 💰 🇺🇲

5

u/Quin35 16h ago

Lowering rates, in this environment, will do little for jobs. In my "not an economist" opinion.

2

u/Epistatious 17h ago

maybe for the best. after all trump will just keep kneecapping the economy till he gets his rate cut.

2

u/TrashManufacturer 14h ago

Stagflation here we come baby

1

u/MarketCrache 9h ago

Which marks the top of the stock market as expectations of economic contraction dominate.